Tyrrell_McAllister comments on An explanation of Aumann's agreement theorem - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Tyrrell_McAllister 07 July 2011 06:22AM

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Comment author: Tyrrell_McAllister 07 July 2011 11:35:27PM *  0 points [-]

IIRC, that's how Aumann's paper was describing it.

No, not as I read it.

My C & E_i correspond to blocks in the partition that Aumann assigns to agent 1. Aumann has agent 1 evaluating the posterior probability of A in world ω by computing p(A | P₁(ω)), where P₁(ω) is the element of 1's partition containing ω. So the agent will never condition on a union P₁(ω₁) ∪ P₁(ω₂) of distinct blocks. (Here I'm following Aumann's notation as closely as possible.) Correspondingly, my agent never conditions on a disjunction [(C & E₁) ∨ (C & E₂)].

But I think that you're right about the generalization being trivial. It should just involve the standard procedure for turning a union A ∪ B into a disjoint union A ∪ (B∖A).