satt comments on An explanation of Aumann's agreement theorem - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Tyrrell_McAllister 07 July 2011 06:22AM

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Comment author: satt 09 July 2011 03:06:59AM *  0 points [-]

Thanks! It's interesting that you focus on the common knowledge assumption as the really strict assumption, rather than Bayesian-ness.

Comment author: Tyrrell_McAllister 11 July 2011 06:22:15PM *  3 points [-]

It's interesting that you focus on the common knowledge assumption as the really strict assumption, rather than Bayesian-ness.

The common-knowledge condition really is surprisingly strong. I think that this is especially clear from the definition that I gave in my write-up. The common knowledge C is a piece of information so strong that, once you know it, your posterior probability for the proposition A is totally fixed — no additional information of any kind can make you more or less confident in A.