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AnlamK comments on Casey Anthony - analyzing evidence using Bayes - Less Wrong
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Comments (19)
Sounds like Casey is overwhelmingly likely to be guilty. It also sounds plausible, but unlikely (and maybe more evidence makes it less likely; this post is all I've read on the matter), than Cindy killed Cayley.
If you (or anyone else) are still interested, I recommend this article . I think I'm pretty close to the position the author articulates.