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Armok_GoB comments on Rationalist Judo, or Using the Availability Heuristic to Win - Less Wrong
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Hmm. My brain seems to do somehting very similar automatically, and I can't think of any clear problems that I have of this type (at the moment, it dosn't necessarily mean there ain't any). There is the possibility that some other less positive factor causes my abnormally high apparent alif-belif correlation thou. Still, figuring out what I did to acquire this habit might still be useful to others.
Do you read/watch a lot of fiction? I personally end up selecting for fiction which matches my beliefs somewhat closely, and that in retrospect has likely strongly enforced the connection. This seems like a reasonable candidate for an automatic yet unnoticeable process with those results.
With certain kind of beliefs, yes, but generally using fictional evidence even for somehting like this has disadvantages, as does limiting yourself to fictions that reaffirms our beliefs in general.