JoshuaZ comments on Discussion: Ideas for a Lesswrongian anticipation Sci-Fi set in 2060 - Less Wrong

0 Post author: Raw_Power 12 July 2011 06:35AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (37)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 15 July 2011 02:54:00PM 1 point [-]

This misses the main issue: while some writers did correctly anticipate some technologies, as a whole the general accuracy of predictions was very weak. Even those who did make correct predictions they were often buried in a host of other predictions. For example, some of Arthur C. Clarke's short stories have an internet like thing, but the vast majority do not. Similarly, Gibson's cyberspace only has a rough similarity to the internet as we know it. So claiming that these were anticipated seems to be almost a file drawer effect.