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PhilGoetz comments on Preference For (Many) Future Worlds - Less Wrong
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Why are they not the same thing? (Or, manifestations of the same thing?)
Because there is one guy who is averaging some metric based on every person in the population and there is a different guy who is averaging some metric about future outcomes of himself excluding those where he is dead.
The similarities seem to be along the lines of "do silly math then decide to kill losers".