Voldemort comments on On the unpopularity of cryonics: life sucks, but at least then you die - Less Wrong

72 Post author: gwern 29 July 2011 09:06PM

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Comment author: Voldemort 30 July 2011 11:15:27AM *  8 points [-]

You have not considered this thoroughly.

What are 28 mortal lives for one that is immortal? If I was asked to choose between the life of some being that shall live for thousands of years or the lives of thirty something people who shall live perhaps 60 or 70 years, counting the happy productive hours of life seems to favour the long lived. Of course they technically also have a tiny chance of living that long, but honestly what are the odds that absent any additional investment (which will have the opportunity cost of other short lived people), they have of matching the mentioned being's longevity?

Now suppose I could be relatively sure that the long lived entity would work towards making the universe, as much as possible, a place that in which I, as I am today, could find some value in, but of those thirty something individuals I would know little except that they are likley to be at the very best, at about the human average when it comes to this task.

What is the difference between a certainty of a two thousand year lifespan, or the 10% chance of a 20 000 year one? Or even a 0.5% chance of a 400 000 year life span? Perhaps the being can not psychologically handle living that much longer, but having assurances that it would do its best to self-modify so it could dosen't seem unreasonable.

Why should I then privilege the 28 because the potentially long lived being just happens to be me?

Only I can live forever. - is a powerful ethical argument if there is a slim but realistic chance of you actually achieving this.

Comment author: handoflixue 31 July 2011 01:33:53AM 5 points [-]

What are 28 mortal lives for one that is immortal?

Genuine question: would you push a big red button that killed 28 African children via malaria, if it meant you got free cryonic suspension? I'm fine with a brutal "shut up and multiply" answer, I'm just not sure if you really mean it when you say you'd trade 28 mortal lives for a single immortal one.

Comment author: Voldemort 31 July 2011 07:29:26AM *  19 points [-]

I'm just not sure if you really mean it when you say you'd trade 28 mortal lives for a single immortal one.

Ha ha ha. I find it amusing that you should ask me of all people about this. I'd push a big red button killing through neglect 28 cute Romanian orphans if it meant a 1% or 0.5% or even 0.3% chance of revival in an age that has defeated ageing. It would free up my funds to either fund more research, or offer to donate the money to cryopreserve a famous individual (offering it to lots of them, one is bound to accept, and him accepting would be a publicity boost) or perhaps just the raw materials for another horcrux.

Also why employ children in the example? Speaking of adults the idea seemed fine, children should probably be less of a problem since they aren't fully persons in exactly the same measure adults are no? It seems so attractive to argue to argue that killing a child costs the world more potential happy productive man years, yet have you noted that in many societies the average expected life span is so very low mostly because of the high child mortality? A 20 year old man in such a society has already passed a "great filter" so to speak. This is probably true in many states in Africa. And since we are on the subject...

There are more malnourished people in India than in all of sub-Saharan Africa, yet people always invoke an African example when wishing to "fight hunger". This is true of say efforts to eradicate malaria or making AIDS drugs affordable or "fighting poverty" or education intiatives, ect. I wonder why? Are they more photogenic?Does helping Africans somehow signal more altruism than helping say Cambodians? I wonder.

Comment author: handoflixue 31 July 2011 06:40:06PM 9 points [-]

There are more malnourished people in India than in all of sub-Saharan Africa

At least in the IT and call centre industries in the United States, "India" is synonymous with "cheap outsourcing bastards who are stealing our jobs." Quite a few customers are actively hostile towards India because they "don't speak English", "don't understand anything", and are "cheap outsourcing bastards who are stealing proper American jobs".

I absolutely hate this idiocy, but it's a pretty compelling case not to try and use India as an emotional hook...

I'd also assume that people are primed to the idea of "Africa = poor helpless children", so Africa is a much easier emotional hook.

Comment author: Voldemort 01 August 2011 08:55:59PM 2 points [-]

It seems Lucid fox has a point. LW isn't that heavily dominated by US based users, also dosen't it seem wise for LW users to try and avoid such uses when thinking of difficult problems of ethics or instrumental rationality?

Comment author: handoflixue 01 August 2011 09:18:25PM 2 points [-]

LW isn't that heavily dominated by US based users

No, but if my example is going to evoke the opposite response in 10-20% of my audience, it's probably a bad choice :)

avoid such uses when thinking of difficult problems of ethics or instrumental rationality?

Conceeded. I was interested in gauging emotional response, though, not an intellectual "shut up and multiply". The question is less one of math and more one of priorities, for me.

Comment author: mikedarwin 01 August 2011 02:33:36AM *  18 points [-]

Taken at face value, the comments above are those of a sociopath. This is so not because this individual is willing to sacrifice others in exchange for improved odds of his own survival (all of us do that every day, just by living as well as we do in the Developed World), but because he revels in it. It is even more ominous that he sees such choices as being inevitable, presumably enduring, and worst of all, desirable or just. Just as worrisome is the lack of response to this pathology on this forum, so far.

The death and destruction of other human beings is a great evil and a profound injustice. It is also extremely costly to those who survive, because in the deaths of others we lose irreplaceable experience, the opportunity to learn and grow ourselves, and not infrequently, invaluable wisdom. Even the deaths of our enemies diminishes us, if for no other reason than that they will not live long enough to see that they were wrong, and we were right.

Such a mind that wrote the words above is of a cruel and dangerous kind, because it either fails, or is incapable of grasping the value that interaction and cooperation with others offers. It is a mind that is willing to kill children or adults it doesn't know, and is unlikely to know in a short and finite lifetime, because it does not understand that much, if not almost all of the growth and pleasure we have in life is a product of interacting with people other than ourselves, most of whom, if we are still young, we have not yet met. Such a mind is a small and fearful thing, because it cannot envision that 10, 20, 30, or 500 years hence, it may be the wisdom, the comfort, the ideas, or the very touch of a Romanian orphan or of a starving sub-Saharan African “child” from whom we derive great value, and perhaps even our own survival. One of the easiest and most effective ways to drive a man mad, and to completely break his will, is to isolate him from all contact with others. Not from contact with high intellects, saintly minds, or oracles of wisdom, but from simple human contact. Even the sociopath finds that absolutely intolerable, albeit for very different reasons than the sane man.

Cryonics has a blighted history of not just attracting a disproportionate number of sociopaths (psychopaths), but of tolerating their presence and even of providing them with succor. This has arguably has been as costly to cryonics in terms of its internal health, and thus its growth and acceptance, as any external forces which have been put forward as thwarting it. Robert Nelson was the first high profile sociopath of this kind in cryonics, and his legacy was highly visible: Chatsworth and the loss of all of the Cryonics Society of California's patients. Regrettably, there have been many others since.

It is a beauty of the Internet that it allows to be seen what even the most sophisticated psychological testing can often not reveal: the face of the florid sociopath. Or perhaps, in this case I should say, the name of same, because putting a face to that name is another matter altogether.

Comment author: Nornagest 01 August 2011 03:07:40AM 20 points [-]

Taken at face value, the comments above are those of a sociopath.

I imagine that's the point of writing under a Voldemort persona.

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 01 August 2011 02:42:58PM 13 points [-]

Such a mind that wrote the words above is of a cruel and dangerous kind

A Dark Lord, no less!

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 02 August 2011 05:23:33AM 8 points [-]

Cryonics has a blighted history of not just attracting a disproportionate number of sociopaths (psychopaths), but of tolerating their presence and even of providing them with succor

Details?

I've seen a couple of cases of people disliking cryonics because they see its proponents as lacking sufficient gusto for life, but no cases of disliking or opposing cryonics because there are too many sociopaths associated with it.

Comment author: handoflixue 23 August 2011 08:17:22PM 0 points [-]

For what it's worth, LessWrong has done a pretty good job of firming up exactly that perspective for me.

In fairness, I don't mind psychopathic behavior, and I'm still signing up. I've definitely developed a much lower opinion of cryonics advocacy since being here, though.

Comment author: katydee 24 August 2011 06:56:15AM 4 points [-]

I'm curious as to what brought you to these conclusions. Can you explain further?

Comment author: handoflixue 25 August 2011 08:34:10AM 0 points [-]

Taken at face value, the comments above are those of a sociopath.

Well, that line captures a lot of it.

Eliezer's response was to link me to an XKCD comic.

So, thus far, the quality of discourse here has been sociopathic fictional characters and webcomics...

Comment author: katydee 25 August 2011 09:08:27AM 3 points [-]

The post by "Voldemort" was an obvious joke/fakepost, though, and Eliezer's comment was on the mark even if he did use a webcomic to illustrate his point...

Comment author: handoflixue 25 August 2011 05:57:41PM 0 points [-]

What makes you so certain that the Voldemort post was a joke, and not simply a sociopath posting on an alternate account to avoid the social consequences of holding such a stance? Certainly, there seem to be quite a few other people here who would pick immortality over saving 28 other lives, if you put the two choices "side by side".

Comment author: JoshuaZ 24 August 2011 12:02:47AM 1 point [-]

Can you expand on that claim? I find this claim to be very shocking.

Comment author: handoflixue 25 August 2011 08:34:42AM 0 points [-]

http://lesswrong.com/lw/6vq/on_the_unpopularity_of_cryonics_life_sucks_but_at/4ozz I'll go ahead and keep this to one thread for my own sanity :)

Comment author: Nisan 01 August 2011 04:57:21AM 8 points [-]

To be absolutely clear, the commenter you are responding to is a troll and a fictional character.

Comment author: mikedarwin 01 August 2011 06:24:10AM 2 points [-]

I'm curious as to how you know "Voldemort" is a troll?

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 01 August 2011 02:48:32PM *  18 points [-]

LW has a few role-playing characters identifiable by usernames, while others don't appear to be playing such games and don't use speaking usernames. So "Voldemort" is likely a fictional persona tailored to the name, rather than a handle chosen to describe a real person's character.

Comment author: Voldemort 01 August 2011 08:49:59PM *  8 points [-]

Correct, though I prefer to think of it as using another man's head to run a viable enough version of me so that I may participate in the rationalist discourse here.

Comment author: Clippy 02 August 2011 07:14:56PM 10 points [-]

Who are the other role-playing characters on LessWrong?

Comment author: AdeleneDawner 02 August 2011 08:28:01PM 5 points [-]

GLaDOS started as one, though the account seems to be being used for regular interaction now.

Comment author: Nic_Smith 02 August 2011 08:01:28PM *  5 points [-]
Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 02 August 2011 03:48:54AM 12 points [-]

True evil geniuses don't reveal their intentions openly. (They also don't post this blog comment.)

Comment author: Pavitra 02 August 2011 04:27:27AM 7 points [-]
Comment author: mikedarwin 02 August 2011 07:54:48AM *  4 points [-]

LOL! You don't have to be a genius to be evil and, speaking from long, hard and repeated experience, you don't have to be a genius to a great deal of harm - just being evil is plenty sufficient. This is especially true when the person who has ill intentions also has disproportionately greater knowledge than you do, or than you can easily get access to in the required time frame. The classic example has been the used car salesman. But better examples are probably the kinds of situations we all encounter from time to time when we get taken advantage of.

I don't know much about computers, so I necessarily rely on others. In an ideal world, I could take all the time necessary to make sure that the guy who is selling me hardware or software that I urgently need is giving me good advice and giving me the product that he says he is. But we don't live in an ideal world. Many people have this kind of problem with medical treatment choices, and for the same reasons. Another, related kind of situation, is where the elapsed time between the time you contract for a service and the time you get it is very long. Insurance and pension funds are examples. Lots of mischief there, and thus lots of regulation. It doesn't take evil geniuses in such situations to cause a lot of loss and harm.

And finally, while this may seem incredible, in my experience those few people who are both geniuses and evil, usually tell you exactly what they are about. They may not say, "I intend to torture and kill you," but they very often will tell you with relish how they've tortured others, or about how they are willing to to torture and kill others. The problem for me for way too long was not taking such people seriously. Turns out, they usually are serious; deadly serious.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 02 August 2011 08:23:19PM 13 points [-]

You don't have to be a genius to be evil

Right, I'm just saying, that's how I know it's not the real Voldemort posting.

in my experience those few people who are both geniuses and evil, usually tell you exactly what they are about. They may not say, "I intend to torture and kill you," but they very often will tell you with relish how they've tortured others,

We may have different standards for "genius"; I don't think I've ever heard of someone who I would classify as both malicious (negated utility function, actually wants to hurt people rather than just being selfish) and brilliant. I also doubt that any such person exists nowadays, because, you see, we're not all dead.

Comment author: lessdazed 03 August 2011 07:45:41AM 15 points [-]

that's how I know it's not the real Voldemort posting.

That's how you know it's not Voldemort posting?

Comment author: MixedNuts 03 August 2011 06:53:36AM 10 points [-]

A person who greatly enjoys abducting, torturing, and killing a few people every couple months is plausible, whereas a person who wants to maximize death and pain is much less so. A genius of the former kind does not kill us all.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 03 August 2011 09:15:21AM 5 points [-]

The people who cause the most damage do it because they have disproportionate power rather than disproportionate knowledge.

Comment author: FeepingCreature 01 August 2011 06:13:32PM *  6 points [-]

Voldemort is the taken name of the main antagonist of the popular fantasy book series Harry Potter.

Eliezer Yudkowsky, one of the founders and main writers for lesswrong.com, also writes a Harry Potter fanfiction, called Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. (HPATMOR)

Because of this, several accounts on this forum are references to Harry Potter characters.

[edit] Vol de mort is also french for Flight of Death.

Comment author: gwern 01 August 2011 07:11:37PM 10 points [-]

I feel obligated to point out that one of the links at the end of the OP was a link to Darwin's review of the last Harry Potter movie; he knows who Voldemort the character is.

Comment author: mikedarwin 02 August 2011 08:03:44AM 1 point [-]

I have seen all the movies, most more than once. I have not yet read the books.

Comment author: Voldemort 01 August 2011 08:43:41PM *  2 points [-]

I hate to repeat myself but let me ease your mind.

Ha ha ha. I find it amusing that you should ask me of all people about this.

Only I can live forever. - is a powerful ethical argument if there is a slim but realistic chance of you actually achieving this.

...or perhaps just the raw materials for another horcrux.

Despite the risk of cluttering I even made a posts who's only function was to clear up ambiguity:

Ah, even muggles can be sensible occasionally.

I thought it was more than probable the vast majority of readers here would be familiar with me. Perhaps I expect too much of them. I do that sometimes expect too much of people, it is arguably one of my great flaws.

Comment author: mikedarwin 02 August 2011 08:02:14AM -1 points [-]

When you say: "I thought it was more than probable the vast majority of readers here would be familiar with me," you imply a static readership for this list serve, or at least a monotonic one. I don't think either of those things would be good for this, or most other list serves with an agenda to change minds. New people will frequently be coming into the community and their very diversity may be one of their greatest values.

Comment author: nshepperd 02 August 2011 02:36:17PM 6 points [-]

Voldemort is a fictional character from one of the most popular novel and movie series in the last 20 years (of which one of the top posters of this site is writing a fanfiction). I don't think it's too much to expect almost all english speakers with an internet connection who might have an interest in this site to have at least heard of him, regardless of whether we have a "static readership".

Comment author: advancedatheist 02 August 2011 04:10:52PM 2 points [-]

Robert Nelson was the first high profile sociopath of this kind in cryonics, and his legacy was highly visible: Chatsworth and the loss of all of the Cryonics Society of California's patients.

Nelson has also managed to get director Errol Morris to make a movie based on his version of cryonics history, which suggests that he may have the last word on his reputation, depending on how the film portrays him.

Comment author: Magneto 01 August 2011 07:58:06PM *  2 points [-]

The ugly truth is that sometimes sociopaths are useful, though you are probably correct in stating that visible and prominent sociopaths that support cryonics hurt it.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 July 2011 11:33:58AM 3 points [-]

(nods) Absolutely.

Unfortunately, I came installed with a fairly broken evaluator of chances, which tends to consistently evaluate the probability of X happening to person P differently if P = me than if it isn't, all else being equal... and it's frequently true that my evaluations with respect to other people are more accurate than those with respect to me.

So I consider judgments that depend on my evaluations of the likelihood (or likely consequences) of something happening to me vs. other people suspect, because applying them depends on data that I know are suspect (even by comparison to my other judgments).

But, sure, that consideration ought not apply to someone sufficiently rational that they judge themselves no less accurately than they judge others.

Comment author: Voldemort 30 July 2011 11:54:05AM *  9 points [-]

Unfortunately, I came installed with a fairly broken evaluator of chances, which tends to consistently evaluate the probability of X happening to person P differently if P = me than if it isn't, all else being equal... and it's frequently true that my evaluations with respect to other people are more accurate than those with respect to me.

Then work towards the immortality of another. Dedicate your life to it.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 July 2011 12:00:28PM *  6 points [-]

That points out that people who think cryonics might work but forgo it because of the uncertainty of being bias towards themselves seldom consider committing to not get it for themselves yet provide it for another and then considering the issue while at the same time being a discreet call to join the Death Eaters.

I can't help myself but upvote it.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 July 2011 06:51:48PM 2 points [-]

(nods) Yup, that makes more sense.

Comment author: Voldemort 30 July 2011 11:28:58PM *  -1 points [-]

Ah, even muggles can be sensible occasionally.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 31 July 2011 12:31:40AM 2 points [-]

And a good thing too, since we're all we've got.