TheOtherDave comments on On the unpopularity of cryonics: life sucks, but at least then you die - Less Wrong

72 Post author: gwern 29 July 2011 09:06PM

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Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 July 2011 11:33:58AM 3 points [-]

(nods) Absolutely.

Unfortunately, I came installed with a fairly broken evaluator of chances, which tends to consistently evaluate the probability of X happening to person P differently if P = me than if it isn't, all else being equal... and it's frequently true that my evaluations with respect to other people are more accurate than those with respect to me.

So I consider judgments that depend on my evaluations of the likelihood (or likely consequences) of something happening to me vs. other people suspect, because applying them depends on data that I know are suspect (even by comparison to my other judgments).

But, sure, that consideration ought not apply to someone sufficiently rational that they judge themselves no less accurately than they judge others.

Comment author: Voldemort 30 July 2011 11:54:05AM *  9 points [-]

Unfortunately, I came installed with a fairly broken evaluator of chances, which tends to consistently evaluate the probability of X happening to person P differently if P = me than if it isn't, all else being equal... and it's frequently true that my evaluations with respect to other people are more accurate than those with respect to me.

Then work towards the immortality of another. Dedicate your life to it.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 July 2011 12:00:28PM *  6 points [-]

That points out that people who think cryonics might work but forgo it because of the uncertainty of being bias towards themselves seldom consider committing to not get it for themselves yet provide it for another and then considering the issue while at the same time being a discreet call to join the Death Eaters.

I can't help myself but upvote it.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 July 2011 06:51:48PM 2 points [-]

(nods) Yup, that makes more sense.

Comment author: Voldemort 30 July 2011 11:28:58PM *  -1 points [-]

Ah, even muggles can be sensible occasionally.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 31 July 2011 12:31:40AM 2 points [-]

And a good thing too, since we're all we've got.