eth0 comments on bridgeplan - a writeup on things one can actually do to increase lifespan - Less Wrong

-1 Post author: MartinB 04 August 2011 07:05PM

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Comment author: eth0 08 August 2011 03:52:04PM 0 points [-]

Ok. Age-related death rates converging asymptotically is a known fact since at least 1939. P(death) was estimated to converge to about 0.439 per annum for women and 0.544 for men. That's a 99% chance to die after 8 years for a woman.

I'm not sure this translates into a cessation of aging. Even if P(death) was a hundredth of that, people would still die over time. They would just not die as fast as they do now. What is the definition of aging there anyway? For me, I'd say an intrinsic biological tendency to die over time does not qualify as being freed from aging.

http://longevity-science.org/Greenwood-Human-Biology-1939.pdf

Comment author: [deleted] 07 April 2012 11:57:54AM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure this translates into a cessation of aging.

A neutron has the same probability of decaying in the next second no matter how old it is, and neutrons definitely don't age.