SilasBarta comments on I can't see comments anymore -- what was recently changed? - Less Wrong

7 Post author: SilasBarta 05 August 2011 04:16PM

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Comment author: SilasBarta 05 August 2011 06:11:41PM 2 points [-]

Sure, and it's possible something in LW's software or dependencies changed. Both are low-probability. I'm seeking answers on my end. I'm also asking here if there were any changes on this end so that I can distinguish which one is more likely.

You have no evidence to offer that would favor one possibility over another, and yet you post anyway, and rather confidently. Why?

Comment author: RobertLumley 05 August 2011 06:15:24PM *  2 points [-]

Well, as I've said, my prior for p(site issue) is fairly low. Especially given that several other people have suggested (in other browsers) that they're seeing things fine. And I don't mean to imply certainty. You're correct - the only evidence I have is what has been posted in the comments here. I'm just trying to propose an alternative hypothesis, that you hadn't seemed to consider. If you had, then I apologize for the redundancy, but you made no mention of this possibility in your OP.

Comment author: SilasBarta 05 August 2011 06:20:13PM 0 points [-]

Especially given that several other people have suggested that they're seeing things fine.

Really? Who mentioned seeing the comments just fine in IE7 over the past few days, rather than yesterday but not today?

I'm just trying to propose an alternative hypothesis, that you hadn't seemed to consider.

More accurately, you're telling me your priors. I'm interested in likelihood ratios though, and you had nothing to offer on that front.

Comment author: RobertLumley 05 August 2011 06:26:54PM 1 point [-]

Really? Who mentioned seeing the comments just fine in IE7 over the past few days, rather than yesterday but not today?

Other people have said they're seeing things fine in other browsers. Sorry. Edited for clarity.

More accurately, you're telling me your priors. I'm interested in likelihood ratios though, and you had nothing to offer on that front.

The two are not mutually exclusive. And both are relevant.

Comment author: SilasBarta 05 August 2011 06:31:54PM 0 points [-]

Other people have said they're seeing things fine in other browsers. Sorry. Edited for clarity.

No need. The point is, the fact that other people see things fine in other browsers (which, btw, I already knew) does not help to establish why IE7 previously worked but recently stopped, nor suggest that nothing changed on LW's end.

The two are not mutually exclusive. And both are relevant.

No, likelihood ratios are the only concern for a Bayesian, unless I have a particular reason to put credence in your priors.

Comment author: RobertLumley 05 August 2011 06:42:27PM 2 points [-]

the fact that other people see things fine in other browsers (which, btw, I already knew) does not help to establish why IE7 previously worked but recently stopped, nor suggest that nothing changed on LW's end.

In fact, it does. Unless you're suggesting that compatibility with IE7 and other browsers is statistically independent, p(site problem | no problem in other browsers) < p(site problem | problem in other browsers). It may not be strong evidence, but it is evidence. Although, at this point, it's moot, since your bug has been duplicated.

No, likelihood ratios are the only concern for a Bayesian, unless I have a particular reason to put credence in your priors.

I didn't say they were relevant to the question asked, but they were relevant given the context in which they were mentioned.