calcsam comments on Selecting optimal group projects and roles - Less Wrong

2 Post author: calcsam 06 August 2011 05:50PM

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Comment author: Alexei 06 August 2011 08:27:02PM 3 points [-]

Latter-day Saint churches with 50-100 weekly attendance grow three or four times faster than churches with 200+ weekly attendance, according to a statistic I read somewhere and can't track down.

This could be easily explained by a limited number of people who would be interested in that church. Probably, after you get to 200, you've reached out to most of the people you could, so the growth rate slows down.

To check this: split a church with 200 attendees into two churches with 100 attendees each, and see if their growth rate improves.

Comment author: calcsam 07 August 2011 01:50:48AM 0 points [-]

This could be true, but I don't think so. In my experience, church size is much more strongly influenced by other factors, like how leadership draws the boundary lines between church units, and which geographic area people who are already current members decide to move into. That said, you have the perfect test.