falenas108 comments on Take heed, for it is a trap - Less Wrong
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Comments (187)
"Bayesian Bob: ... I meant that in a vacuum we should believe it with 50% certainty..."
No we shouldn't: http://lesswrong.com/lw/jp/occams_razor/
As for proving a negative, I've got two words: Modus Tollens.
Bob does need to go back to math class! ;)
Modus Tollens is: If P, then Q. Not Q. Therefore, not P
But you can't prove not Q in the first place.
Three more words then, reductio ad absurdum.
Ok, fair.