Zed comments on Take heed, for it is a trap - Less Wrong

47 Post author: Zed 14 August 2011 10:23AM

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Comment author: komponisto 17 August 2011 05:26:04AM 0 points [-]

Let n be an integer...You need a prior distribution on n. Without a prior, these probabilities are not 50%. They are undefined.

Who said anything about not having a prior distribution? "Let n be a [randomly selected] integer" isn't even a meaningful statement without one!

What gave you the impression that I thought probabilities could be assigned to non-hypotheses?

Finally, on an empirical level, it seems like there are more false n-bit statements than true n-bit statements.

This is irrelevant: once you have made an observation like this, you are no longer in a state of total ignorance.

Comment author: Zed 17 August 2011 09:10:31AM *  0 points [-]

[ replied to the wrong person ]