lukeprog comments on Remind Physicalists They're Physicalists - Less Wrong
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I updated my wording after your original comment on this topic. And I don't agree that it's probability is 'extremely low'. I don't think it's the only explanation, merely that it's often part of the explanation. It seems you're taking me to be making a stronger claim than I'm intending to make.
My link to Eliezer's post wasn't meant to justify my practice, only to put it in context.