Oscar_Cunningham comments on Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased) - Less Wrong

75 Post author: HoldenKarnofsky 18 August 2011 11:34PM

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Comment author: Wei_Dai 19 August 2011 03:18:07AM 1 point [-]

I'm surprised and confused by your comment. People have proposed lots of arguments against giving in to Pascal's Mugging, even within the standard Bayesian framework. (The simplest, for example, is that we actually have a bounded utility function.) I don't see how you could possibly say at this point that giving in is "clearly" beneficial.

Comment author: cousin_it 19 August 2011 09:17:07AM *  1 point [-]

Err, the post assumes that we have an unbounded utility function (or at least that it can reach high enough for Pascal's mugging to become relevant), and then goes on to propose what you call an approximation method that looks clearly wrong for that case.

Comment author: multifoliaterose 19 August 2011 04:02:00PM 0 points [-]

Why clearly wrong?