Solvent comments on Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased) - Less Wrong
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Comments (249)
Well, my probability that you could or would do anything useful, given money, just dropped straight off a cliff. But perhaps you're just having trouble communicating. That is to say: What the hell are you talking about.
If you're going to ask for money on LW, plain English response, please: What's the output here that the money is paying for; (1) a Friendly AI, (2) a theory that can be used to construct a Friendly AI, or (3) an analysis that purports to say whether or not Friendly AI is "feasible"? Please pick one of the pre-written options; I now doubt your ability to write your response ab initio.
Dude, it's right there: "feasibility and difficulty", in this sentence which I am now repeating for the second time:
(Bold added for emphasis, annotations in [brackets] were in the original.)
The next sentence:
Or if you really need it spelled out for you again and again, the output would primarily be (3) but secondarily (2) as you need some of (2) to do (3).
Because you clearly need things pointed out multiple times, I'll remind you that I put my response in the original comment that you originally responded to, without the later clarifications that I'd put in for apparently no one's benefit:
(Those italics were in the original comment!)
I wasn't asking for money on Less Wrong! As I said, "I was trying to quickly gauge vague interest in a vague notion." What the hell are you talking about.
I've doubted your ability to read for a long time, but this is pretty bad. The sad thing is you're probably not doing this intentionally.
To save some time and clarify, this was option 3: an analysis that purports to say whether or not Friendly AI is "feasible".