CarlShulman comments on Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased) - Less Wrong

75 Post author: HoldenKarnofsky 18 August 2011 11:34PM

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Comment author: CarlShulman 22 August 2011 03:14:09AM * 1 point [-]

I don't think so - assuming we are trying to maximise p(save all humans).

Likewise. ETA: on what I take as the default meaning of "confidence in averting" in this context, P(avert disaster|disaster otherwise impending).

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