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Vaniver comments on Cached Phrases - Less Wrong
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Do you need an articulated reason? If your subconscious ran the numbers and reported the result without showing you its reasoning, that doesn't mean you should ignore it entirely. Perhaps when you notice predictions like that, you should write them down and see how they do?
This may be a product of a bad example; it usually occurs when I have sufficient reason to not believe the opinion, and doubt my subconscious' influence.
Quite possibly. I don't have any experience with your subconscious. I still recommend keeping track of such things- they're a delightful way to learn about your mind. Remember the old joke about the gambler, who stopped writing down his winnings and losses because it was unlucky.
Or could it have been an subconscious emotional response like bitterness or jealousy? Those get in the way of clear and rational thinking a lot. I could be totally off on this, of course, since you did say it was a bad example.
Of course. But those emotions survived evolution, and it's helpful to calibrate your emotions before you decide what level of trust- positive or negative- to assign them.