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MichaelHoward comments on Selecting Rationalist Groups - Less Wrong
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Paranoid Debating suggestion: after uncovering the red menace, spend a few minutes trying to figure out what effect the disinformation had on your estimate, then make a new one.
Repeat with the reformed Red joining in.
Average all the group members' suggestions as to how many Rhode Islands will fit in Alaska, then throw out the guess farthest from the average, re-average, and make that the center of your distribution.
Ah... sorry for not being clear. My suggestion was meant to help participants test their rationality, learn about biases, and internalize that knowledge through experience, not as a way to improve their estimate.