lessdazed comments on A History of Bayes' Theorem - Less Wrong

53 Post author: lukeprog 29 August 2011 07:04AM

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Comment author: lessdazed 25 August 2011 07:39:31AM 2 points [-]

...there's nothing particularly "Bayesian" about Nate Silver's methodology. It's just intelligently weighted average of polling data.

Theories describing reality at a deep level have problems such as unclear intellectual ownership of intelligent methods when the methods aren't clearly inspired by the theoretical tradition. It's a good problem to have.