Vaniver comments on A History of Bayes' Theorem - Less Wrong
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That's actually a famous example in statistics and probability, from Bortkiewicz's book on the Law of Small Numbers. Like Laplace and Bayes, Bortkiewicz did the heavy lifting on an idea named after someone else (in this case, the Poisson distribution). As Bortkiewicz was Polish, German, or Russian (depending on how you look at things), it doesn't make sense to lump him in with French officials.