endoself comments on A History of Bayes' Theorem - Less Wrong

53 Post author: lukeprog 29 August 2011 07:04AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (85)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: endoself 26 August 2011 01:16:10AM 6 points [-]

So, he invented the 'ban', defined as "about the smallest change in weight of evidence that is directly perceptible to human intuition."

Wikipedia defines the ban as the amount of information in a decimal digit and makes the observation, due to I. J. Good, that a deciban is approximately the smallest intuitively perceptible change in evidence.

Comment author: lukeprog 29 August 2011 05:17:17PM 0 points [-]

Hmmm, McGrayne's book says that Turing thought the ban was about the smallest change in weight of evidence directly perceptible to human intuition. Maybe Good had a different intuition about the measure, later.

Comment author: endoself 29 August 2011 05:41:05PM 1 point [-]

I think a simple mistake is far more likely. A ban corresponds to an odds ratio of 10:1, clearly well within the range of perception.