lukeprog comments on A History of Bayes' Theorem - Less Wrong

53 Post author: lukeprog 29 August 2011 07:04AM

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Comment author: lukeprog 29 August 2011 05:17:17PM 0 points [-]

Hmmm, McGrayne's book says that Turing thought the ban was about the smallest change in weight of evidence directly perceptible to human intuition. Maybe Good had a different intuition about the measure, later.

Comment author: endoself 29 August 2011 05:41:05PM 1 point [-]

I think a simple mistake is far more likely. A ban corresponds to an odds ratio of 10:1, clearly well within the range of perception.