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gjm comments on Consequentialism Need Not Be Nearsighted - Less Wrong
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I wonder what fraction of the world's population has the necessary concepts in their heads to believe (or disbelieve) anything even slightly like "some doctors use TDT or something like it". I'd have thought well below 0.1%.
I think they would probably frame a question with similar content as "how trustworthy are doctors?"
I don't think the content of that question is similar at all.
The relevant thing to a TDT person is "how likely is it that there's someone simulating my mind sufficiently accurately?"
"how trustworthy are doctors?" is a question that results in a simulation of a doctors mind. It seems, to me, that many people simulating that doctors mind will be capable of simulating it sufficiently accurately; even if they don't understand (on a conscious level) all the necessary jargon to explain what they are doing.
I was aware of, and practising, timeless decision theory before ever stumbling across Lesswrong, and, while I know this may just be the "typical mind fallacy" I would be surprised if only 0.1% of people had similar thoughts.
Sure, I didn't call it TDT, because that is a piece of jargon only present in this community, but the basic principle is certainly not unique, or unknown, and I would expect that even many who don't undestand it would use it subconsciously.