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ArisKatsaris comments on Consequentialism Need Not Be Nearsighted - Less Wrong
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Yes, it can be a bad idea -- I'm just saying TDT doesn't say it's always a bad idea.
(DefectBot is sufficient to demostrate it's not always a bad idea to defect. In other cases, it can be much more subtle.)
TDT can't reason about such things, it gets its causal graphs by magic, and this reasoning involves details of construction of the causal graphs (it can still make the right decisions, provided the magic comes through). UDT is closer to the mark, but we don't have a good picture of how that works. See in particular this thought experiment.