Emile comments on Aumann voting; or, How to vote when you're ignorant - Less Wrong

11 Post author: PhilGoetz 02 April 2009 06:54PM

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Comment author: Emile 02 April 2009 08:21:57PM *  3 points [-]

I don't think it's a good heuristic, and I don't think you do either. Reversed stupidity is not intelligence, and it's more efficient to tug "sideways".

For issues that are split around 95%-5%, I wouldn't be surprised if the proportion of idiots had very little correlation to the truth of the causes.

Comment author: William 24 April 2009 03:26:53PM 0 points [-]

The assumption is that you're in a two-choice vote, where there is no way to pull the rope sideways.