PhilGoetz comments on Aumann voting; or, How to vote when you're ignorant - Less Wrong

11 Post author: PhilGoetz 02 April 2009 06:54PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (36)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: SoullessAutomaton 02 April 2009 11:04:40PM *  4 points [-]

Voting to "cancel out an idiot" is possibly acceptable as a first-order approximation, but sorely lacking beyond that.

Even assuming single-issue voting on a question that is completely linear, if you believe that the correct point is at point X% of the way from A to B, where Y% of the idiots vote towards A and (100-Y)% towards B, a second-order approximation of rationality would mean randomly voting toward one side or the other in proportion to the difference between X and Y such that if X and Y are equal you flip a coin.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 03 April 2009 02:55:02AM *  1 point [-]

That approach would be good if there were a large number of people using this strategy, or if you voted many times on the same issue.

Comment author: SoullessAutomaton 03 April 2009 02:33:04PM *  1 point [-]

if you voted many times on the same issue.

In this case, moving to Chicago is an option.