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CannibalSmith comments on Counterfactual Mugging v. Subjective Probability - Less Wrong
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If we can predict to how an AI would modify itself, why don't we just write an already modified AI?
Because the point of a self-modifying AI is that it will be able to self-modify in situations we don't anticipate. Being able to predict its self-modification in principle is useful precisely because we can't hard-code every special case.