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gwern comments on Contrarians judged mad after being proven right (John Hempton) - Less Wrong
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That question reminds me of http://www.gladwell.com/2007/2007_01_08_a_secrets.html
As far as Sino Forestry goes; I haven't read the full analysis published that triggered it, but nothing in what I've read has mentioned hot new data which makes the fraud case convincing.