loqi comments on The Brooklyn Society For Ethical Culture - Less Wrong
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Comments (26)
True. I think the goal here is a bit more complex than "maximize number of self-proclaimed rationalists", though.
I was presenting it as an argument favoring updates toward average beliefs over doing so for in-group beliefs, but you're still right that it's really making an unrelated point.
I find such demonstrations quite difficult to identify. Doing so requires both confidence in the correctness of their conclusion and, to a lesser extent, confidence that the beliefs you observe aren't being selected for by other rationalists.