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thomblake comments on Rationality is Systematized Winning - Less Wrong
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major said:
You're not the only person to wonder this. Either I'm missing something, or two-boxers just fail at induction.
I have to wonder how two-boxers would do on the "Hot Stove Problem."
In case you guys haven't heard of such a major problem in philosophy, I will briefly explain the Hot Stove Problem:
You have touched a hot stove 100 times. 99 times you have been burned. Nothing has changed about the stove that you know about. Do you touch it again?
I can see the relation to Newcomb - this is also a weird counterfactual that will never happen. I haven't deliberately touched a hot stove in my adult life, and don't expect to. I certainly won't get to 99 times.