Comment on Rationality is Systematized Winning

Sun, 12 Apr 2009 16:59:59 GMT

This exchange has finally imparted a better understanding of this problem for me.

If you pre-commit now to always one-box – and you believe that about yourself – then deciding to one-box when Omega asks you is the best decision.

If you are uncertain of your commitment then you probably haven't really pre-committed! I haven't tried to math it, but I think your actual decision when Omega arrives would depend on the strength of your belief about your own pre-commitment. [Though a more-inconvenient possible world is the one in which you've never heard of this, or similar, puzzles!]

Now I grok why rationality should be self-consistent under reflection.

Discuss