CronoDAS comments on Incremental Progress and the Valley - Less Wrong

38 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 April 2009 04:42PM

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Comment author: CronoDAS 05 April 2009 04:24:55AM 2 points [-]

From a statistical standpoint, lottery winners don't exist - you would never encounter one in your lifetime, if it weren't for the selective reporting.

Well... one of my grandmothers' neighbors, whose son I played with as a child, did indeed win the lottery. (AFAIK, it was a relatively modest jackpot, but he did win!)

Also, re: cryonics: My current understanding is that being an organ donor is incompatible with cryonic preservation. Is this correct? (Myself, I think I'd rather be an organ donor...)

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 05 April 2009 10:58:06AM 4 points [-]

And now that you have selectively reported this fact, I know of CronoDAS the web forum buddy, whose grandmother's neighbor has won a modest jackpot!

Comment author: SoullessAutomaton 05 April 2009 11:07:45AM 7 points [-]

What is this, six degrees of a lottery winner?

Comment author: rwallace 05 April 2009 09:47:47AM 2 points [-]

I would imagine it should be possible to freeze your brain and donate the rest of your organs?

Comment author: ChrisHibbert 05 April 2009 06:02:07PM 6 points [-]

Mostly not. The process of preparing the body for cryonics (even for neuro- or head-only patients) requires pumping preservation chemicals through the bloodstream that are incompatible with donation.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 April 2009 01:21:48PM 3 points [-]

Well, yes, some of the modest jackpots are statistically almost possible, in the sense that on a large enough web forum, someone else's grandmother's neighbor will have won it. Just not your own grandmother's neighbor.

Sorry about your statistical anomalatude, CronoDAS - it had to happen to someone, just not me.