Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Incremental Progress and the Valley - Less Wrong

38 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 April 2009 04:42PM

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Comment author: Wei_Dai 05 April 2009 09:58:56AM 10 points [-]

Things are actually a bit worse than this, because there is also no theorem that says there is only one valley, so there's no guarantee that even after you climb out of this valley, your next step won't cause you to go off a precipice.

BTW, there's a very similar issue in economics, which goes under the name of the Theory of the Second Best. Markets will allocate resources efficiently if they are perfectly competitive and complete, but there is no guarantee that any incremental progress towards that state, such creating some markets that were previously missing, or making some markets more competitive, will improve social welfare.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 April 2009 01:19:58PM 3 points [-]

I agree there's no guarantee in principle, but I can't recall ever running into a second valley in practice.