the modestly-well-off have cleaners, lawn-mowers, gardeners, nannies, guards etc, soon these may be supplemented by cooks, shoppers, drivers, etc. I do not see a limit as to how far such a chain of personal assistants can reach.
Having human servants may be a status thing, but consider just how good machines might get at doing literally everything on your list in say 50 years time. Sure obviously some niches will remain, perhaps for a very long time. But will these really be so labour intensive that they will be enough to eat up most of technological unemployment?
Lets do some math here. To simplify lets just consider the bell curve distribution for IQ, to add another simplification to our model lets say basically anyone with an IQ below two standard deviations above the mean is obsolete for anything but the kind of service work you describe. How many servants would a high IQ person need to eat up to not have society arrive at a large fraction of unemployed? Is this a realistic number?
That's an interesting question to consider. Some numbers I pulled from Wolfram Alpha indicates that 97.72% of people are below two standard deviations above the mean, so you would need 44 jobs generated per person after rounding up.
http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/firstlady.asp would seem to indicate that as of today, that is a substantial amount of personal staff, but certainly not an out of the question amount.
I think what D_Alex might be getting at when he references a chain of personal assistants is that your personal staff can themselves have assi...
The future when people will play WoW for a living.
The blogger comments this:
Jobs and status:
This actually is an amusing little scenario spiced with the familiar observation that charity isn't about helping people. Perhaps an example of how future dream time may be strange and interesting compared to our little portion of it, to which we are acclimatised.