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lessdazed comments on Rationality tip: Predict your comment karma - Less Wrong
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I am considering making a thread in which people type, for reinforcement, a sentence emphasizing how little they know about votes they receive. What do you think of "I do not know why my comment got the votes it got"? It doesn't reflect partial knowledge or educated guesses enough to be perfect, can you think of better?
The point of Bayesian thinking is that you should have an idea why things are happening. If you genuinely don't know why your comments are getting the votes it did, then ask. This is not a shy forum. You'll build up a few data points and can resume being a competent Bayesian with a pretty good idea why you're getting the votes you do.