XiXiDu comments on Calibrate your self-assessments - Less Wrong

68 Post author: Yvain 09 October 2011 11:26PM

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Comment author: XiXiDu 09 October 2011 02:33:57PM *  11 points [-]

I walked out of my first examination almost certain I had failed. I got my results back, and learned I had passed with honors. This situation repeated itself with depressing regularity over the next few semesters.

Back during my schooldays I was often certain that I had failed a test, just like many other people in my class. It turned out that most of the time the others didn't fail the test while I did. I concluded that they are for some reason just bullshitting about their self-assessments, it didn't occur to me that they just repeatedly failed to accurately predict their own success.

Comment author: taryneast 10 October 2011 01:02:10PM 5 points [-]

:) yet another example of "never attribute to malice what can easily be ascribed to incompetence"

Comment author: AspiringRationalist 18 March 2012 09:12:35PM 1 point [-]

As soon as this catches on, malicious people will learn to appear incompetent.

Comment author: Solvent 11 October 2011 07:29:05AM 4 points [-]

I often walk out of an exam thinking I did brilliantly, only to be highly surprised with my crap grades later.

Comment author: Swimmer963 11 October 2011 01:45:16PM 2 points [-]

My brother said to me a few days ago that "whenever I think I've done well, I've done terribly, and whenever I think I've done terribly, I've done well."

Comment author: Solvent 12 October 2011 06:11:23AM 0 points [-]

Hrmm. That one could be related to impostor syndrome, maybe. However, what this thread has really established is that people can have any possible combination of experiences with test results (always thinking you've done badly, always thinking you've done well, thinking the opposite of what actually happened, and actually being right.)

Comment author: taelor 12 October 2011 10:29:58PM 0 points [-]

Interestingly, just yesterday, I got back the results of a math test and an English paper. I was convinced I was firmly in the B+ range on the test, and ended up with a C-; I was also convinced that I was in the C+ range on the paper, and got a solid A. I've noticed that my expectations are often inaccurate, but they're accurate enough that I'm hesitant to simply negate them.