Douglas_Knight comments on Machine learning and unintended consequences - Less Wrong

15 Post author: lukeprog 23 September 2011 02:31AM

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Comment author: Douglas_Knight 23 September 2011 01:49:50PM 6 points [-]

Why don't you write a post on how it is naive? Do you actually know something about practical application of these methods?

Yes, if experts say that they use quantifiable data X, Y, and Z to predict outcomes, that simple algorithms beat them on only that data might not be important if the experts really use other data. But there is lots of evidence saying that experts are terrible at non-quantifiable data, such as thinking interviews are useful in hiring. Tetlock finds that ecologically valid use of these trivial models beats experts in politics.