Right, but as I understand it, you don't need a file drawer effect to see that some of the experiments done in parapsychology still have devastatingly tiny p-values on their own, such as through the Stanford Research Institute.. So the file drawer effect isn't really the right way to challenge the analogy.
How is that?
I actually don't know what that means. Is sigma being used to indicate standard deviation? If so, then yes, there have been a number of parapsychology experiments that went in that range of accuracy - some moreso if I recall correctly. (It has been many years since I read into that stuff, so I could be misremembering.)
You need to provide links because I read a fair bit on the subject and don't recall this. If I came across such results my money would be on fraud of systematic error- not a statistical fluke.
So either parapsychology is ridiculous because it uses bad statistical methods (in which case there's a significant chance that this FTL finding is a statistical error), or we can trust the statistical methods that CERN used (which seems to force us to trust the statistical methods that parapsychologists use.)
This is the kind of "outside-view-taken to the extreme" attitude that just doesn't make sense. We know why the statistical results of para-psychological studies tend to not be trustworthy- publication bias, file drawer effect, exploratory research turned into hypothesis testing retroactively etc. If we didn't know why such statistical results couldn't be trusted the we would be compelled to seriously consider para-psychological claims. My claim is that those reasons don't apply to neutrino velocity measurements.
You need to provide links because I read a fair bit on the subject and don't recall this.
That's a fair request. I don't really have the time to go digging for those details, though. If you feel so inspired, again I'd point to the work done at the Stanford Research Institute (or at least I think it was that) where they did a ridiculous number of trials of all kinds and did get several standard deviations away from the expected mean predicted based on the null hypothesis. I honestly don't remember the numbers at all, so you could be right that there ha...
http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110922/full/news.2011.554.html
http://arxiv.org/abs/1109.4897v1
http://usersguidetotheuniverse.com/?p=2169
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3027056
Perhaps the end of the era of the light cone and beginning of the era of the neutrino cone? I'd be curious to see your probability estimates for whether this theory pans out. Or other crackpot hypotheses to explain the results.