Yeah, see, I'm not betting against random cool new physics, I wouldn't offer odds like that on there not being a Higgs boson, I'm betting on the local structure of causality. Could I be wrong? Yes, but if I have to pay out that entire bet, it won't be the most interesting thing that happened to me that day.
How confident am I of this? Not just confident to offer to bet at 99-to-1 odds. Confident enough to say...
"Well, that was an easy, risk-free $202."
Or to put it even more plainly:
"You turned into a cat! A SMALL cat! You violated Conservation of Energy! That's not just an arbitrary rule, it's implied by the form of the quantum Hamiltonian! Rejecting it destroys unitarity and then you get FTL signaling! And cats are COMPLICATED! A human mind can't just visualize a whole cat's anatomy and, and all the cat biochemistry, and what about the neurology? How can you go on thinking using a cat-sized brain?"
McGonagall's lips were twitching harder now. "Magic."
"Magic isn't enough to do that! You'd have to be a god!"
The consequence of the FTL neutrinos CERN thinks they found at six sigma significance is not the breakdown of causality. You can have faster than light neutrinos without backwards propagation of information. This is not the end of normality, but a new normality, one where Lorentz invariance is broken. This would mean that there is a universal reference class that trumps but doesn't destroy relativity. If anything, a universal reference class seems like a stronger causal structure than relativity.
This whole thing would be so normal, that there's a pre-exist...
http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110922/full/news.2011.554.html
http://arxiv.org/abs/1109.4897v1
http://usersguidetotheuniverse.com/?p=2169
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3027056
Perhaps the end of the era of the light cone and beginning of the era of the neutrino cone? I'd be curious to see your probability estimates for whether this theory pans out. Or other crackpot hypotheses to explain the results.