JoshuaZ comments on How Likely Is Cryonics To Work? - Less Wrong
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If we have actual data on this, this should replace most of my first section. Can we get it? Though the people in a position to collect the data have a lot to lose by admitting poor numbers.
Also, some of my 86% for the first section includes things that we can't tell yet if they worked out all right:
And then there are things that are not currently a problem but could become one:
Actual data on the fraction of the time someone signed up for cryonics is actually suspended in what we think was the correct way would be really helpful, though.
http://www.alcor.org/cases.html seems like a good starting point.
Ugh. Some of that makes for very horrifying reading. One of the ones labeled worst case scenario makes me want to track down the people who did the autopsy and punch them.
I did say 'fairly frequently'.... Nor does long involvement necessarily save one; Mike Darwin was rather angry at Ben Best over how he botched Curtis Henderson.