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lukeprog comments on Hard problem? Hack away at the edges. - Less Wrong
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(A lot of stuff seems potentially relevant only until you've studied the problem for a few years and learned that mostly it's actually not.)
Of course you want to fail as quickly as you can, though you and I do seem to have slightly different intuitions about what is likely to end up being useful for friendliness content. Or rather, I have a slightly broader set of things that I think have a decent chance of being useful.