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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Real-Life Anthropic Weirdness - Less Wrong
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Eli tends to say stylistically: "You will not " for what others, when they're thinking formally, express as "You very probably will not __" This is only a language confusion between speakers. There are other related ones here, I'll link to them later. Telling someone to "win" versus "try to win" is a very similar issue.
To be exact, I say this when human brains undergo the failure mode of being unable to discount small probabilities. Vide: "But there's still a chance, right?"