CarlShulman comments on Real-Life Anthropic Weirdness - Less Wrong
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You are missing something, and would benefit greatly from reading Nick Bostrom's Anthropic Bias:
http://books.google.com/books?id=TZ5FLwnCTMAC&dq=nick+bostrom+anthropic&printsec=frontcover&source=bn&hl=en&ei=ImbaSe_GO-LVlQfXqLnoDA&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=4
I found Chapters 1-5 on Bostrom's website at
http://www.anthropic-principle.com/book/
Will those chapters explain the error in my thinking?
ETA: If someone could summarize the rebuttal contained in Bostrom's book, I would also appreciate it.