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Nebu comments on Real-Life Anthropic Weirdness - Less Wrong
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If you didn't believe in MWI+QTI (i.e. had very low priors for), and you saw your friend claim to do a billion coin flips and not get shot, then even if you "refuse" to significantly increase your belief in MWI+QTI, wouldn't you at least increase your belief in the possibility that the gun is broken, and thus would not shoot you?
I would assume that the gun was broken and thus would not shoot me.