jhuffman comments on Planets in the habitable zone, the Drake Equation, and the Great Filter - Less Wrong

11 Post author: JoshuaZ 01 October 2011 02:44AM

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Comment author: jhuffman 03 October 2011 09:41:00PM *  0 points [-]

It is pretty easy to imagine lots of smallish filters as responsible. If I am doing my math correctly, then 9 filters that each weed out only 9 out of 10 solar systems would reduce the expected population of intelligent life in the Milky Way to just .1 systems. Since we know so much more about star formation I am a lot more comfortable saying "habital planet" will weed out 90% of systems, that is not nearly a big enough filter to account for what we see by itself but as you stack them filters of this size are quite substantial.

edit: er no that's wrong, off by a few orders of magnitude. So yeah, gosh where is everyone?