Unnamed comments on Apply your knowledge: pick half a number - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Eneasz 04 October 2011 04:49PM

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Comment author: Unnamed 05 October 2011 06:37:11PM 3 points [-]

We did this on Less Wrong a couple years ago; Warrigal called it The Aumann's agreement theorem game (guess 2/3 of the average). The average guess was about 13.2, making the winning number (2/3 the average in that game) about 8.8.

Comment author: pedanterrific 05 October 2011 06:50:15PM 2 points [-]

I wonder if repeated trials would drive the average down or up?

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