gwern comments on Private Manned Moonbase in the 1990s, Yet Another Planning Fallacy - Less Wrong

7 Post author: DavidPlumpton 05 October 2011 12:09AM

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Comment author: gwern 05 October 2011 03:00:36PM 5 points [-]

The primary issue seemed to be raising the money, and this was covered by a business plan at least to some degree of detail.

This would be more convincing as a planning fallacy if they had raised the necessary money.

Otherwise, it's just: 'we will fail utterly if we do not get X; we did not get X; we failed utterly.' Is that so?