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gwern comments on 1001 PredictionBook Nights - Less Wrong
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1514 public predictions? Gwern, you don't just have more courage than I have. You have orders of magnitude more courage than I have.
I'm actually up to 1889 as of tonight.
I'm a lot more comfortable doing it because now I have evidence I'm actually pretty decent at it. (For example, on Good Judgement Project, I finished the year 50 out of the 206 in my specific group, despite typoing at least 1 entry.)