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kilobug comments on A few analogies to illustrate key rationality points - Less Wrong
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True. But I wasn't arguing over "absolute immortality" (that's even quite fuzzy for me, "eternity" is not something I can apprehend, and I'm not sure it's really possible, with the Second Law of Thermodynamics), but more about a "moderate" amount of trans-humanism, with no more old age, but occasional accidents, so people living in average like a few millions of years. But you said hold true for "absolute immortality" if it's possible.
"Curing aging" isn't enough on its own to get a million year lifespan; an 18-year old male in the United States has about a 1 in 1000 chance of dying before reaching his 19th birthday*, which would imply an average lifespan of about 1,000 years.Of course, by the time we do cure aging, we'll probably have solved a lot of other problems, too...
Yep, or perhaps for immortality that lasts "merely" a few hundred billion years.